Fund Flows
FUND FLOWS
Fund flows are where real money is actually moving — not just where prices are moving. Why it matters: prices tell you what's been bid up; flows tell you whether investors are committing fresh capital or quietly pulling out. Persistent outflows during a price rally is one of the cleanest warning signs of a distribution top; persistent inflows during a selloff often marks the bottom. IA covers UK retail (monthly); ETF flow signals proxy US institutional flow via dollar volume vs its 20-day average.
About UK fund flows
The Fund Flows page tracks net money movement across the UK fund industry. It combines monthly Investment Association flow data by sector, daily ETF flow estimates derived from trading volume, and a predictive model that scores the likely direction of next month's flows for each asset class.
- What are fund flows?
- Fund flows are the net movement of investor money into or out of funds over a period — net sales equal gross inflows minus redemptions. Positive flows mean investors are net buyers; negative flows mean net sellers. This page reports UK retail flows published monthly by the Investment Association.
- How are ETF flows estimated?
- Reported creation and redemption baskets are not freely available, so ETF flows here are estimated from daily trading volume and dollar volume as a proxy for demand. They indicate relative flow pressure rather than exact subscription figures.
- How does the flow prediction model work?
- The predictor assigns each asset class an UP, DOWN, or NEUTRAL signal for the coming month using a weighted score of recent flow momentum, macro conditions, and seasonality, together with a confidence level. It is a directional heuristic, not investment advice.